GUR OFER

Born: Jerusalem, September 23, 1934
Military service: 1953-1955; Member, Kibbutz Ha’on, 1955-1959
Married to Dalia; four daughters, six grandchildren

Office:
Dept. of Economics
The Hebrew University of Jerusalem
Mt. Scopus, 91905 Jerusalem,
Israel
Tel: 972-2-5883238
Fax: 972-2-5816071
E-mail: msgur@mscc.huji.ac.il

Education:

B.A.& M.A.1959-1964, History and Economics, The Hebrew University,Jerusalem, Israel
Ph.D.1964-1968,  Economics, Harvard University; Thesis: The Service Industries in the USSR

Academic Positions:

  • Harvey M. and Lyn P. Meyerhoff Professor of Soviet Economics, Departments of Economics and of Russian Studies, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel
  • Head, the Israel National Institute for Health Policy and Health Services Research
  • Member, the International Advisory Board, the New Economic School, Moscow
  • Past:

  • Chair, the International Advisory Board, the New Economic School, Moscow (1991-2004)
  • Head, The Feher Institute of Public Policy, the Hebrew University Branch (1994-2001)
  • President, The Israeli Economic Association (1998/99)
  • Visiting Professor: Dept. of Economics, Yale University (1999/2000); New Economic School, Moscow (Winter 1995); Harvard University (1982-83); UCLA (1977-78); Boston College (1972-73); M.I.T. (1967-68); Northeastern University (1966)
  • Lecturer, since 1968; Senior Lecturer, since 1972; Associate Professor, since 1977; The Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel.
  • Consultant, the World Bank (1992/93)
  • McArthur Scholar, the Brookings Institution (1988-1989)
  • Senior Fellow, the W. Averell Harriman Institute for Advanced Study of the Soviet Union, Columbia University (Fall 1989)
  • Research Associate, the RAND Corporation (1973, 1977-1978, Summer 1985)
  • Research Associate, the Russian Research Center, Harvard University (1967-68, 1972-73, 1982-83)
  • Guest Scholar, the Wilson Center (October-December 1983)
  • Research Fellow, the Falk Institute for Economic Research in Israel
  • Head, the Russian and East European Research Center, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem, Israel (1970-72, 1986-88)
  • Chair, Department of Economics, The Hebrew University, (1985-86)
  • Member Editorial Board, Journal of Comparative Economics (1977-79, 1986-88)
  • Consultant, the RAND corporation (1973-92)
  • PUBLICATIONS

    Books

    1967. The Service Industries in a Developed Economy: Israel as a Case Study. F.A. Praeger Publishers, N.Y. (in cooperation with the Bank of Israel).

    1973. The Service Sector in Soviet Economic Growth: A Comparative Study. Harvard University Press (in Harvard Economic Studies, jointly with the Russian Research Center Series).

    1992. The Soviet Household Under the Old Regime: Economic Conditions and Behavior in the 1970s. (With Aaron Vinokur). Cambridge University Press.

    1992. Trials of Transition: Economic Reform in the Farmer Communist Bloc. (Edited with Michael Keren). Westview Press.

    1995. Reforming Planned Economies in a an Integrating World Economy. (With Barry Bosworth). The Brookings Institution Washington D.C.

    1998. Governments and Health System: Implications of Differing Involvements (Co-Editor, edited by David Chinitz and Joshua Cohen, and others). John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

    2004. The Economic Prospects of the CIS: Sources of Long Term Growth since 1991 (Co-Editor with Richard Pomfret). Edward Elgar Publishing.

    Articles

    1973. “The Economic Burden of Soviet Involvement in the Middle East.” In M. Confine and S. Chamber (eds.), The USSR and the Middle East. Jerusalem, Israel Universities Press, pp. 215-246.

    1973. A revision of the above was published in Soviet Studies, Volume XIV, pp. 321-347. January.

    1973. “Returns to Scale in Retail Trade.” Review of Income and Wealth, Volume 19, No. 4, pp. 363-384. December.

    1975. “The Opportunity Costs of Non Monetary Advantages of the Military Research and Development Efforts in the Soviet Union.” RAND Report R-1741. August.

    1976. “Food Shopping Habits in Israel.” In N. Halevi and J. Cap (eds.), Issues in the Economy of Israel. The Falk Institute, pp. 185-206.

    1976. “Industrial Structure, Urbanization and Growth Strategy of Socialist Countries.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. X., pp. 219-244. May.

    1976. “Soviet Military Aid to the Middle East: An Economic Balance Sheet.” In John Hard (ed.), Soviet Economy in a New Perspective. U.S. Congress, Joint Economic Committee, pp. 216-239. September.

    1977. “Economizing on Urbanization in Socialist Countries: Historical Necessity or Socialist Strategy.” In Alan Brown and Econ Neuberger, Internal Migration: A Comparative Perspective. Academic Press.

    1978. “The Industrial Structure of Israel and its Development, 1961-1974: As Compared with Normal Development Patterns,” (Hebrew). In N. Halevi and Y. Kop (eds.), Studies in the Economy of Israel. 1976. The Falk Institute, pp. 19-35. (An English version presented in a Conference on the Service Sector and Economic Development, Puerto Rico, June 1978.)

    1979. “Economic Aspects of the Soviet Involvement in the Middle East.” In Yaacov Roi (ed.), The Limits of Power. Crook-Helm, London.

    1979. “Family Budget Survey of Soviet Emigrants in the Soviet Union.” (With Aaron Vinokur and Acyl Bar-Chain). Research Paper No. 32, The Soviet and East European Research Center, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem 1979; An updated version, The RAND Corporation (P-6015).

    1979. “Family Income Levels for Soviet Industrial Workers, 1965-1975.” (With Aaron Vinokur). In A. Kahn and B. A. Ruble (eds.), Industrial Labor in the USSR. New York, Pergamon Press, pp. 184-208.

    1980. “Industrial Structure Urbanization and Socialist Growth Strategy: An Historical Analysis, 1940-1967.” In Steven Rosefield (ed.), World Communism in Transition. Boston, Martinus Nighoff Publishings.

    1980. “Trade Structure and Industrial Structure in Socialist Countries: A Case for Specialization in Agricultural Goods.” In Paul Marer and J. M. Montias (eds.), East European Integration and East-West Trade. Indiana University Press.

    1980. “Soviet Household Saving: A Cross-Section Study of Soviet Emigrant Families.” (With Joyce Pickersgill). In Quarterly Journal of Economics. Vol. 95: No. 1 (August), pp. 121-145. (Earlier draft was issued by The RAND Corporation (P-6132), (1978).

    1980. “Private Sources of Income of the Soviet Urban Household.” (With Aaron Vinokur). (R-2359-NA), The RAND Corporation. August.

    1980. “The Distribution of Income of the Soviet Urban Population.” (With Aaron Vinokur). Presented at The Second World Congress of the Association of Soviet and East-European Studies, Garmisch. October.

    1980. “Economic Absorption and Contribution of Soviet Immigrants in Israel.” (With Aaron Vinokur and Yechiel Bar-Chaim; Hebrew). Israel: The Falk Institute for Economic Research.

    1980. “The Relative Efficiency of Military Research and Development in the Soviet Union: A System Approach.” The RAND Corporation (R-2522-AF).

    1981. “Earning Differentials Between Men and Women in the Soviet Union: A First Look.” (With Aaron Vinokur). In S. Rosefield (ed.), Economic Welfare and the Economics of Soviet Socialism: Essays in Honor of Abram Bergson. Cambridge, University Press, pp. 127-162.

    1981. “Israel’s Economy: Diagnosis and Cure.” The Jerusalem Quarterly. No. 20, pp. 3-16. Summer.

    1981. “Standard of Living of Soviet Immigrants in Israel.” (Interim Report), (With Aaron Vinokur). The Falk Institute. July (Hebrew).

    1982. “Absorption in Work of Soviet Immigrants in Israel.” (With Aaron Vinokur). Jerusalem, Israel: The Falk Institute (Hebrew).

    1982. “Wages and Occupations of Soviet Emigrants in Israel.” (With Aaron Vinokur). (Interim Report). Jerusalem: The Falk Institute (Hebrew).

    1983. “The Labor Force Participation of Married Women in the Soviet Union, A Household Cross-Section Analysis.” Journal of Comparative Economics. July.

    1984. “Economics of the Soviet Urban Household in the 1970s: Report on an Income Survey of Soviet Emigrants.” (With Aaron Vinokur). Report to the National Council for Soviet and East European Research. July.

    1985. “Work and Family of Soviet Women: Historical Trends and Cross Section Analysis.” (With Aaron Vinokur). J. Labor Economics.pp. S328-S354. January.

    1986. “Public Spending on Civilian Services.” In Y. Ben-Porath (ed.), The Israeli Economy: Maturing through Crises. Cambridge, MA., Harvard University Press, pp. 192-208. (A report in Hebrew under the same name, but more detailed, was published by the Falk Institute, September 1983.)

    1986. “National Expenditures on Education and Health.” In Y. Kop (ed.), Change in Social Policy: Israel 1985-86. Center for Social Policy Studies in Israel, pp. 111-134. April.

    1987. “Absorption and Economic Contribution of Immigrants from the Soviet Union.” (With Aaron Vinokur and Yechiel Bar-Chaim). In D. Schwartz (ed.), Studies in Absorption. Stockholm (1987). (Also The Falk Institute, 1980; Hebrew).

    1987. “National Expenditures on Social Services.” In Y. Kop (ed.), Allocation to Social Services 1986-87. Center for Social Policy Studies in Israel. July.

    1987. “Health Services at a Time of Economic Crisis.” (With others). In Y. Kop (ed.), Allocation to Social Services 1986-87. Center for Social Policy Studies in Israel. July.

    1987. “Soviet Economic Growth: 1928-1985: A Survey Article.” Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXV. pp. 1767-1833. December.

    1987. “Inequality of Earnings, Household Income and Wealth in the Soviet Union in the 70’s.” (With Aaron Vinokur). In J. Millar (ed.), Politics, Work and Daily Life in the U.S.S.R: A Survey of Former Soviet Citizens. Cambridge University Press, pp. 171-202.

    1987. “Economic Aspects of the Modernization of Russia and China.” In S. N. Eisenstadt (ed.), Patterns of Modernity, Volume 2: Beyond the West. Francis Pinter, London, pp. 37-64.

    1988. “The Distributive Effects of the Social Consumption Fund in the Soviet Union.” (With Aaron Vinokur). In G. Lapidus and G. Swanson (eds.), State and Welfare, USA/USSR. Berkeley: University of California Press, pp. 251-277.

    1988. “The Economic Dimension ¾ The Soviet Union.” (With Joseph Pelzman). In S. Spiegal, M. Heller and J. Goldberg (eds.), The Soviet American Competition in the Middle-East. Lexington Books, MA, pp. 221-238.

    1988. “Poverty in the Soviet Union.” (With Aaron Vinokur). Presented at the AAASS Annual Conference, Honolulu. October, (mimeo).

    1988. “Hospital Reimbursement in Israel.” (Hebrew) Economic Quarterly, Special Issue, December).

    1988. “The National and Public Expenditure on Health Services in Israel.” In Y. Kop (ed.), Allocation to Social Services 1988/9. Center for Social Policy Studies in Israel.

    1992. “Productivity, Competitiveness and the Socialist System.” In Bert Hickman (ed.), International Productivity and Competitiveness. Oxford University Press, Ch. 5, pp. 97-133.

    1989. “Soviet-Third World Economic Relations: A new Era.” (With Joseph Pelzman). Paper presented at a conference on “Soviet Involvement in the Middle East: A New Era” sponsored by the Mayrock Center for Soviet and East European Research, The Hebrew University, Jerusalem. January.

    1989. “Budget Deficit, Market Disequilibrium and Soviet Economic Reforms.” Soviet Economy, Vol. 5, No. 2, pp. 107-161. April-June. Also Published in: Edward A. Hewett and Victor H. Winston (eds.), Milestones in Glasnost and Perestroika: The Economy, The Brookings Institution, Washington D.C., pp. 268-307.

    1989. “The Relative Income Level of the Elderly Population in Israel.” (with Yaacov Kop). Presented at a conference on Public Finance and Welfare in Israel, Beer Sheva University, Israel. May 29-30.

    1989. “Reforms in the Socialist System: The Convergence Hypothesis Revisited.” Paper presented at the 21st National Convention of the AAASS, Palmer House, Chicago. November 2-5.

    1989. “The Welfare State of Soviet Economic Reform: Also Converging?” Paper presented at the AEA meetings, Atlanta. December.

    1989. “The Absorption and Economic Contribution of Immigrants from the Soviet Union in Israel.” (With Aaron Vinokur). In Tamar Horowitz (ed.), The Soviet Man in an Open Society. University Press of America, pp. 67-91.

    1990. “The Future of Economic Reform.” In Walter Laquer et al., Soviet Union 2000: Reform or Revolution?, Chapter 3. St. Martin’s Press, pp. 83-120.

    1990. “The Service Sector in Soviet Economic Reforms: Does Convergence Finely Arrive?” Paper presented at the IV World Congress for Soviet and East European Studies, Harrogate. July 21-26.

    1990. “Macroeconomic Issues of Soviet Reforms.” NBER, Macroeconomic Annual 1990, pp. 297-333.

    1991. “The Distribution Sector in Soviet Economic Reforms.” In IMF, IBRD, OECD, EBRD: A Study of the Soviet Economy, Vol. 3, pp. 31-54.

    1992. “Soviet American Cooperation and the Future of the Arab-Israeli Conflict.” (With Galia Golan). In Steven L. Spiegel (ed.), Conflict Management in the Middle East. Westview Press, pp. 409-426.

    1991. “Soviet Military and Economic Aid to the Middle East and Africa.” (With Joseph Pelzman). Final scientific report to the US-Israel Binational Science Foundation (BSF 85-00264-I).

    1992. “Stabilizing and Restructuring in the Former Soviet Economy: Big Bang or Gradual Sequencing?” In Keren Michael and Gur Ofer, eds, Trials of Transition: Economic Reform in the Former Communist Bloc. Westview Press.

    1991. “Absorption in Work of Soviet Immigrants to Israel in the 1990s: Aspects of Preservation of Original Occupations.” (With Karnit Flug and Nitsa Kassir). Published by The Bank of Israel, Research Papers, No. 91.05, and 92.13 (Hebrew and English). Also in Economic Quarterly, No. 148, April.

    1992. “Fiscal Developments and Economic Reforms in the Soviet Union: 1991.” Public Finance (Public Finance in a World of Transition) (Pierre Pestiau editor), Supplement to Vol. 47 pp. 318-334.

    1992. “Services as a Major Source of Growth in Russia and Other Former Soviet States.” (With Martha de Melo and William Easterly). The world Bank, policy research working paper 1292 (April 1994). In Mario Blejer (ed.), Economic Reform in Russia: The Early record, International; Center for Economic Growth, San Francisco Forthcoming, 1995.

    1993. “Macroeconomic Stabilization and Structural Change: Orthodox, Heterodox, or Otherwise?” In: Abel Aganbegyan, Oleg Bogomolov and Michael Kaser (eds.), Economics in a Changing World: Vol 1 System Transformation: Eastern and Western Assessment. St. Martin’s Press in association with the IEA, 1994. pp. 87-114. A version in Russian appeared in Ekonomika i Matematicheskie Metody, Vol. 29, No 4 pp. 548-563.

    1994. “Private Service Firms in a Transitional Economy: Finding of a survey in St. Petersburg” (with Martha de Melo), Studies in Economics of Transition, No. 11, The World Bank, Washington D.C.

    1995. “Pioneers for Profit: St Petersburg Entrepreneurs in Services” (with Martha de Melo and Olga Sandler), The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 9, No. 3, pp. 425-450.

    1994. “The Global Economy and Social Change at the Turn of the Century: The Interaction Between Economic Growth and Poverty.” Paper presented at WELFARE ‘94 The 26th International Conference of ICSW, July 3-7, 1994, Tampere, Finland.

    1996. “Health Sector Reform in Russia: The Heritage and the Private/Public Mix” (with Dov Chernihovsky and Elena Potapchik). Moct-Most. Vol.6, No. 3, pp. 125-152.

    1996. “Decelerating Economic Growth Under Socialism: The Soviet Case.” in Ramon Myers (ed.), The Wealth of Nations in the Twentieth Century: The Policies and Institutional Determinants of Economic Development. pp. 80-109. Hoover Institution Press.

    1997. “Trade, Trade Policy and Foreign Exchange Runder Transition: The Case of the Russian Federation”, with Vladimir Drebentsov. Paper presented at the 3rd Dubrovnik Conference, June 1997 (to be published).

    1998. “Hospitalization and Hospital Reimbursement in Israel”. Paper presented at the International Conference on Governments and Health Care Systems, Jerusalem, Israel. In Governments and Health System: Implications of Differing Involvements (Co-Editor, edited by David Chinitz and Joshua Cohen and others). John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

    1998. “New Trends in the Welfare State: The Public\Private Mix”. pp. 65 (Hebrew, Kahanoff Foundation, mimeo). Part of an updated version of the paper was presented as the presidential address, at the annual meetings of the Israeli Economic association, May 21, 1988, Jerusalem.

    1999. “Bringing the Government Hospitals into line: The Next Step of Reform in the Healthcare Sector”,with Ilana Grau. Economic Quarterly, 1997, no. 4 (December) pp. 521-56. (Hebrew); (Koret Foundation Project paper (English) mimeo, 1999.

    1999. "Trade, Trade Policy and Foreign Exchange Regime under Transition: The Case of the Russian Federation", with Vladimir Drebentsov. In Mario Blejer and Marko Skreb (Eds.) Balance of Payment, Exchange Rates, and Competitiveness in Transition Economies. Kluwer Academic Publications, 2000, pp.361-403. (Paper presented at the 3rd Dubrovnik Conference, June 1997).

    1999. "The Russian City in Transition: The First Six Years in 10 Volga Cities" (With Martha de Melo), The World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper 2165.

    1999. "Transition in Regional Capitals along the Volga" (with Martha de Melo and Plamen Yossifov) Post-Soviet Geography and Economics", Vol. 40, No. 8, PP. 553-616.

    1999. "Development and Transition: Emerging but Merging?", Paper presented at the 5th Dubrovnik Conference on Transition, June 22-25. A revised version in Revue D'economie Financiere, (Special Issue), 2001, pp. 107-146

    1999. "Modern economic education in TEs: Technology Transfer to Russia" (with Victor Polterovich) Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. XLII, No. 2 (summer) pp. 5-36.

    2000. "New Trends in the Welfare State: The Public\Private Mix". pp. 65 (Hebrew and English) Bituach Sotsially, No. 55 pp. xx; (1999) and Social Security Vol.4 (2000) pp. 9-33. (Presidential address, the Israeli Economic association, May 21, 1998, Jerusalem).

    2001. "FDI and the Restructuring of Industrial Trade Networks in Transition Economies" (with Michael Keren) Paper presented at an AEA meetings, New Orleans, January, 2001.

    2002. "The Role of FDI in Trade and Financial Services in Transition: Is Transition different than 'Development'?" (with Michael Keren) Comparative Economic Studies, Vol. XLIV, No. X, pp. xx.

    2003. "Globalization and the Role of Foreign Banks in Economies in Transition" (with Michael Keren, in Grzegorz W. Kolodko (ed) Emerging Market Economies: Globalization and Development, Ashgate Publishing Limited, pp. 237-66.

    2003. "Transition and Development Economis: Comparing the Quality of Governments", in Nauro Campos and Jan Fidrmuc (Eds), Political Economy of Transition and Development, Kluwer Academic publishers, pp. 69-96.

    2003. "Globalization and the Welfare State: Developed, Developing and transition Countries", paper presented at the Presented at a conference on "Globalization and social stress" organized by TIGER,Warsaw and the Yale Center for International and area Studies at the Leon Kozminski Academy of Entrepreneurship and Management (WSPiZ), October 23-24, 2003, Warsaw.

    2004. "Switching Development Strategies and the Costs of Transition: the Case of the Soviet Union and Russia" Paper presented at the AEA meetings, San Diego, January 3-5, 2004.

    2005. "The Political Economy of Structural Change in Russia", forthcoming, in Eropean Journal of Political Economy, December, 2005 (?).Presented at the "Political Economy of Transition: Job Creation and Job Destruction," Conference, 14-17 August 2003, ZEI, Bonn, Germany.

    2005. "Abram Bergson: The life of a comparativist" Comparative Economic Studies, 2005, 0, (1-19). A longer version presented at the ACES-AEA meetings, Philadelphia, PA, January 7-9, 2005.

    Miscellaneous:

    1972. McKay, John. Pioneers for Profit. (Book review). Journal of Modern History

    1972. “The Soviet Economy.” Encyclopaedia Hebraica, Vol. 22. pp. 670-683 (Hebrew).

    1972. “Nobel Laureate in Economics, 1971: Simon Kuznets.” Israel Quarterly of Economics (English), Vol. 1, No. 3, pp. 41-47. Summer.

    1983. McAuley, Alistair. Economic Welfare in the Soviet Union. (Book review). Soviet Studies.

    1984. Amann, Ronald and Julian Cooper. Industrial Innovation in the Soviet Union. (Book review). Journal of Economic Literature. March.

    1987. Skurski, Roger. Soviet Marketing and Economic Development. (Book review). Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 11, No. 2., pp. 151-156. June.

    1989. Kantorovich, Vladimir. “Transportation and Soviet Economic Growth in the 1980s.” A Discussion of a paper carrying the above title. Presented at a conference in honor of Holland Hunter, Haverford College, March. 1992.”The Service Sector in the Soviet Union.” In Eastern Europe and the USSR. Europa Publications Ltd., London.

    1992. “The Impact of the Revolution in Eastern Europe on ‘Europe 1993’.” Paper presented at a conference on “Europe 1993.” Tel-Aviv, March.

    1994. Wage Inequalities in East and West. By Dominique Redor. Cambridge, England, Cambridge University Press, 1992. Pp. xiii, 216. a book review: Journal of Economic Literature, 1995.

    1994. “Notes to Discussion on a Paper: “Professional Economic Education Standard and its implementation” by Andrei Markov, Andrei Poletayev and others, at the Conference on: The Present and Future of Economic Education in Russia, Moscow State University, April.

    2001. Book review of: Mark G. Field and Judyth L. Twigg (Eds.) Russia's Safety Nets: Health and Social Welfare during the Transition, in Slavic Review, XX

    2001. Book Review of: John C. Campbell and Naoki Ikegami, The art of Balance in Health Policy: Maintaining Japan's Egalitarian System; Cambridge University Press, 1999.

    2002. Book review of: Piroska Mohacsi Nagy, The Meltdown of the Russian State, Edward Elgar Publishers, Cheltenham, UK and Northhampton, MA., USA, 2000; in European Journal of Political econom: 18: 611-613.

    2002. "Index Numbers Relativity" and "Soviet Economic Growth (1928-91), in Encyclopedia of Russian History Cambridge University Press.

    2004. "Economic History of the Soviet Union 1917-1991" in, Joel Mokyr (Ed), The Oxford Encyclopedia of Economic History, Oxford University Press.

    2004. Comment on "Fostering Entrepreneurship, Innovation, and Growth" by T. N. Srinivansan, and "Toward a Microeconomics of Growth" by Robin Burgess and Anthony Venables; in Francois Bourguignon and Boris Pleskovich (Eds.) Accelerating Development: Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics, Bangalore, India; The World Bank and Oxford University Press.

    2004. Discussion of: Yegor Gaidar: "Post-Socialist Recessions, Some lessons Learned", The World Bank, "Practitioners in Development Lecture Series" January 26, 2004. (Forthcoming)

    2004. Comment on: John Sutton: "The Globalization Process: Auto Component Supply Chains in China and India" ABCDE Conference on Development Economics, Brussels, Belgium, May 9-11, 2004 Forthcoming by The World Bank and Oxford University Press.

    April, 2005

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